Thursday, August 6, 2026

Wheat took it on the chin across all three U.S. boards today while canola quietly went the other way, in a split-complex session with the metals cooling off from their recent highs.

The Board

Grains & Oilseeds

  • 🌽 Corn · Dec: 462'0 · +2'0 · +0.43% 🟢⬆️

  • 🫘 Beans · Nov: 1177'6 · +3'0 · +0.26% 🟢⬆️

  • 🥩 Meal · Dec: 316.60 · +1.00 · +0.32% 🟢⬆️ †

  • 🫙 Oil · Dec: 67.37 · +0.20 · +0.30% 🟢⬆️ †

  • 🌾 SRW · Sep: 631'2 · −11'0 · −1.71% 🔴⬇️

  • 🌾 HRW · Sep: 699'6 · −13'6 · −1.93% 🔴⬇️

  • 🌾 HRS · Dec: 694.25 · −13.75 · −1.94% 🔴⬇️

  • 🌾 Oats · Dec: 328'0 · −5'6 · −1.72% 🔴⬇️

Prairie Crops

  • 🌻 Canola · Nov: C$768.90 · +2.90 · +0.38% 🟢⬆️

  • 🐮 Barley · cash: no fresh bid this week † · carried · n/a ➖

Energy

  • 🛢️ WTI · Sep: 77.29 · +2.07 · +2.75% 🟢⬆️ †

  • 🔥 NatGas · Sep: 2.640 · −0.048 · −1.79% 🔴⬇️ †

Metals

  • 🥇 Gold · Dec: 4,299.60 · −5.60 · −0.13% 🔴⬇️

  • 🥈 Silver · Sep: 61.606 · −0.682 · −1.09% 🔴⬇️

The Read

🌽 Corn: 462'0, +2'0 (+0.43%) 🟢⬆️ $CORN ( ▼ 1.44% )

  • Corn edged higher even as favourable U.S. weather kept the crop looking full, a sign of some quiet demand support under the surface.

  • Weekly export sales fell hard week-over-week (116,700 tons, down 68%), so today's gain leaned on positioning, not fresh buying news.

  • So what: a firmer bushel nudges feed costs up slightly for anyone pencilling out fall rations.

  • Watch: USDA's August 12 WASDE, the next real read on this year's crop size.

🫘 Soybeans: 1177'6, +3'0 (+0.26%) 🟢⬆️ $SOYB ( ▼ 1.06% )

  • Beans firmed modestly alongside corn; old-crop export sales hit marketing-year lows, which is normal seasonal churn this close to year-end, not a red flag.

  • South American harvest logistics and Chinese buying pace remain the underlying story once the calendar turns.

  • So what: a touch more cushion for growers still holding old-crop bushels.

  • Watch: China purchase headlines and the August 12 WASDE.

🥩 Soybean Meal: 316.60, +1.00 (+0.32%) 🟢⬆️ †

  • Meal carried the crush today, firming slightly faster than oil.

  • So what: protein-feed costs tick up marginally for livestock and feedlot rations.

  • Watch: board crush margins into the August 12 WASDE.

  • Flagged †: this print was single-sourced from Barchart's settled quote this run; an independent cross-check couldn't be confirmed before deadline.

🫙 Soybean Oil: 67.37, +0.20 (+0.30%) 🟢⬆️ †

  • Oil inched up with the complex, still tethered tightly to crude and the biofuel policy backdrop.

  • So what: biodiesel feedstock costs firm slightly, a small input-cost nudge for renewable diesel producers.

  • Watch: crude's next move and any biofuel-policy headlines.

  • Flagged †: same single-source caveat as meal.

🌾 SRW Wheat (Chicago): 631'2, −11'0 (−1.71%) 🔴⬇️ $WEAT ( ▼ 0.27% )

  • Chicago wheat, the global benchmark, slid with the rest of the complex; funds remain heavily short.

  • So what: softer SRW drags sentiment across the whole wheat board, a mixed bag depending on which side of the bin you're on.

  • Watch: any fresh Black Sea supply headlines.

🌾 HRW Wheat (Kansas City): 699'6, −13'6 (−1.93%) 🔴⬇️

  • Kansas City wheat led the wheat complex lower, pressured by ample Plains supply and soft U.S. export competitiveness.

  • So what: the HRW-SRW spread ticked wider, a signal on protein premiums for millers sourcing hard wheat.

  • Watch: Southern Plains moisture heading into fall planting.

🌾 HRS Wheat (Minneapolis, "the Minnie"): 694.25, −13.75 (−1.94%) 🔴⬇️

  • The Minnie matched the broader wheat selloff even with its high-protein premium still intact; the thinnest-traded of the three boards moved right alongside the other two today.

  • So what: spring wheat growers watch that premium compress slightly as the whole board softens.

  • Watch: Canadian Prairie spring crop condition updates.

🌾 Oats: 328'0, −5'6 (−1.72%) 🔴⬇️

  • Thin, choppy oats followed wheat lower on light volume, typical for this market.

  • So what: limited direct read-through for most producers given how thinly this one trades.

  • Watch: Prairie supply updates and the Chicago/Prairie cash gap.

🌻 Canola: C$768.90, +2.90 (+0.38%) 🟢⬆️ $RS_F ( 0.0% )

  • Canola bucked the wheat weakness today, firming alongside comparable-oil support even as soy and wheat sent mixed signals.

  • So what: the modest gain widens crush margins slightly for Prairie processors.

  • Watch: loonie moves and any China/EU trade-policy noise.

🐮 Alberta Feed Barley: $265➖ †

  • This week's delivered-Lethbridge cash print didn't turn up a current, dated figure before deadline; the most recent confirmed reference points run in the C$325-330/tonne delivered range, but that's stale and shouldn't be read as today's bid.

  • So what: feedlots should confirm current local bids directly rather than lean on this edition's number today.

  • Watch: the next Alberta weekly crop market review.

  • Flagged †: no verified current-week print; direction not implied.

🛢️ WTI Crude: 77.29, +2.07 (+2.75%) 🟢⬆️ †

  • Barchart's watchlist shows a sharp gain, but that print carries no settlement flag ('s'), and separate reporting describes crude trading pressured, closer to $75, after a surprise EIA inventory build (+2.48 million barrels) defied an expected draw. Iran-Oman shipping-route talks over the Strait of Hormuz add another crosscurrent.

  • So what: with the print itself in dispute, don't lock in a diesel-cost assumption off today's number; confirm before pencilling harvest fuel budgets.

  • Watch: tomorrow's confirmed settlement and any Strait of Hormuz shipping-route headlines.

  • Flagged †: genuine source conflict on direction, not just magnitude. Treat today's board print as provisional.

🔥 Natural Gas: 2.640, −0.048 (−1.79%) 🔴⬇️ †

  • Barchart shows a settled print lower on the day; an independent same-day confirmation wasn't available before deadline.

  • So what: if the move holds, it's modest relief on the nitrogen fertilizer cost side.

  • Watch: the next EIA storage report.

  • Flagged †: single-sourced this run.

🥇 Gold: 4,299.60, −5.60 (−0.13%) 🔴⬇️ $GLD ( ▲ 0.81% )

  • Essentially flat, holding near a seven-week high as markets scale back Fed rate-hike bets following a soft ADP jobs report (+44,000 private-sector jobs in July, well under forecast).

  • So what: safe-haven demand steady for now; little change to the hedging-cost math today.

  • Watch: the next Fed commentary or rate-path signal.

🥈 Silver: 61.606, −0.682 (−1.09%) 🔴⬇️ $SLV ( ▼ 0.49% )

  • Silver eased back but still sits near its own seven-week high, riding gold's macro story with an industrial-demand kicker layered on top.

  • So what: no major shift for silver-linked hedges today, just a pause after a strong run.

  • Watch: the gold-silver ratio and COMEX inventory levels.

The Bottom Line

  • Biggest mover: Kansas City and Minneapolis wheat led the complex lower, both down close to 2%, with Chicago SRW right behind.

  • Cross-market driver: a soft ADP jobs report pulled back Fed rate-hike expectations, keeping gold and silver elevated near seven-week highs even as both cooled off intraday.

  • Watch tomorrow: USDA's August 12 WASDE is the next big catalyst on the calendar; also confirm tomorrow's WTI settlement given today's conflicting reports on crude's actual direction.

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