The Daily Board — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Metals did the heavy lifting into the long weekend: gold powered through $4,100 to settle up better than 1% (spot ran even harder), and silver tagged along.

Grains leaned green on record heat baking the Corn Belt — corn led the liquid contracts, and the winter-wheat boards firmed, though several thin July contracts are mid-roll and printing on a handful of lots.

Energy went nowhere: crude stalled right at $68.69 after poking a four-month low intraday, and nat gas eased.

U.S. markets are closed Friday, July 3 for Independence Day (observed), so this close carries into a long weekend — the next board is Monday, July 6.

Prices are CME/KC/MGEX/ICE/COMEX settlements for Thu, July 2, 2026 — Barchart "s" settle stamps dated 07/02/26. Several July grain contracts are thinning into the roll: HRS (†) settled unchanged on 1 lot, oats (†) popped 5.25% on 43 lots, and canola (†) is quoted on the active November contract because the watchlist July print (729.00 on 1 lot) is a roll artifact. Alberta feed barley (†) is the latest weekly delivered-Lethbridge cash bid.

The Board

🌾 Grains & Oilseeds (CBOT / KC / MGEX)
🌽 Corn · Jul — 425'0 ¢/bu · +4'0 · +0.95% 🟢⬆️
🫘 Beans · Jul — 1131'6 ¢/bu · +5'4 · +0.49% 🟢⬆️
🥩 Meal · Jul — 307.7 $/ton · +1.1 · +0.36% 🟢⬆️
🛢️ Oil · Jul — 66.95 ¢/lb · −0.07 · −0.10% 🔴⬇️
🌾 SRW · Jul — 590'4 ¢/bu · −1'4 · −0.25% 🔴⬇️
🌾 HRW · Jul — 627'0 ¢/bu · +3'6 · +0.60% 🟢⬆️
🌾 HRS · Jul † — 590'0 ¢/bu · unch · 0.00%
🌅 Oats · Jul † — 285'6 ¢/bu · +14'2 · +5.25% 🟢⬆️

🍁 Prairie Crops (Canada — C$)
🍁 Canola · Nov † — C$743.90 /t · −0.60 · −0.08%
🌾 Barley · cash † — ≈C$310 /t · steady · —

🛢️ Energy (NYMEX)
🛢️ WTI · Aug — 68.69 $/bbl · +0.11 · +0.16% 🟢⬆️
🔥 NatGas · Aug — 3.196 $/MMBtu · −0.024 · −0.75% 🔴⬇️

🥇 Metals (COMEX)
🥇 Gold · Jul — 4,112.7 $/oz · +44.4 · +1.09% 🟢⬆️
🥈 Silver · Jul — 60.643 $/oz · +0.558 · +0.93% 🟢⬆️

† HRS Minneapolis settled unchanged at 590'0 on a single lot — a dead-thin print carried, not a real session. Oats' +5.25% pop came on 43 lots; direction's real, magnitude is thin-market noise. Canola is quoted on the active November contract (~C$743.90, ~flat); the watchlist July contract printed 729.00 on 1 lot, a roll artifact, don't read it as a 1.65% break. Feed barley is a weekly cash series (latest delivered Lethbridge bid: ~C$310/t), not a daily print.

The Read

🌽 Corn — 425'0, +4¢ (+0.95%) 🟢⬆️

  • Corn led the liquid grains higher as record heat settled over the central U.S. and technical buyers kept pressing the recovery.

  • July is still the active contract with real volume behind it, so this move is honest, not a thin-market blip.

  • So what: Another firm close adds value to bin corn and helps keep the new-crop basis from sliding as the market prices in weather risk through July.

  • Watch: Weekend Corn Belt heat maps and Monday's reopen. A hot, dry stretch through pollination is the story that matters now.

🫘 Soybeans — 1131'6, +5½¢ (+0.49%) 🟢⬆️

  • Beans firmed on spillover from corn and the same hot forecast, but lagged corn as a flat soybean-oil tape kept a lid on the rally.

  • New-crop November tracked a similar gain. The demand story is quiet, so this is a weather bid, not a China bid.

  • So what: A small green close firms your cash bean bid a touch but keeps the bean/corn ratio leaning corn's way into the heat.

  • Watch: Any fresh China flash sale and the July weather run — demand plus heat are the two levers on beans.

🥩 Soybean Meal — 307.7, +1.1 (+0.36%) 🟢⬆️

  • Meal edged higher, with the complex quietly firming as the crush remained the workhorse of the soy board.

  • With oil flat, meal carried the product split today, a modest but steady bid.

  • So what: Firmer meal nudges feed costs up a hair for hog and cattle finishers; nothing dramatic yet.

  • Watch: The meal/oil spread and protein-feed demand, meal keeps the crush lit when oil naps.

🛢️ Soybean Oil — 66.95, −0.07 (−0.10%) 🔴⬇️

  • Bean oil sat out the grain rally, settling dead flat as its leash to a stalled crude tape kept it pinned.

  • The July contract is thinning into the roll, so read the flat print as "no fresh catalyst," not a directional call.

  • So what: A becalmed oil tape keeps the oilseed complex and your canola basis on hold — no tailwind, no drag.

  • Watch: Crude's next move and any biofuel headline — oil needs one of those to break its range.

🌾 SRW Wheat (Chicago) — 590'4, −1½¢ (−0.25%) 🔴⬇️

  • Chicago slipped a touch, easing off as the thin, expiring July contract traded on just 136 lots.

  • The heat bid landed on corn and the winter-wheat cash markets more than on a July SRW futures contract that's already rolling into new crop.

  • So what: A quiet, thin July print isn't the whole wheat story — the active contracts and the cash board are where the heat premium actually shows up.

  • Watch: Monday's reopen on the September/December contracts, and Northern Hemisphere harvest pressure is rolling in.

🌾 HRW Wheat (Kansas City) — 627'0, +3¾¢ (+0.60%) 🟢⬆️

  • The hard-red board firmed above $6.27, outpacing Chicago as Southern Plains heat and adequate protein kept a bid under it.

  • Thin July volume (75 lots) here too, but the direction lines up with a firm winter-wheat complex.

  • So what: A firmer KC board widens the HRW–SRW spread a hair — quality wheat holding its premium as the heat builds.

  • Watch: Gulf export competitiveness and the weekend heat over the Plains.

🌾 HRS Wheat (Minneapolis) — 590'0 †, unch (0.00%)

  • The Minnie printed unchanged at 590'0 — on a single lot. This is a carried settle, not a real session.

  • Spring wheat has firmed off its late-June lows, but today's tape tells you nothing new; the pit simply didn't trade.

  • So what: Don't bank a flat Minneapolis print either way — one lot is a placeholder, not a market for Prairie spring-wheat growers.

  • Watch: Spring-wheat condition ratings and whether liquidity returns after the long weekend.

🌅 Oats — 285'6 †, +14¼¢ (+5.25%) 🟢⬆️

  • Oats popped better than 5% — but on 43 lots and no real open, so a handful of contracts set the price, as always.

  • No fresh oats fundamental; the thin pit floated up with the firmer grain tone.

  • So what: Direction's up with the complex, but don't read a 5% Chicago oats move as your Prairie cash reality — this market moves on air pockets.

  • Watch: Prairie new-crop conditions and the Chicago/Prairie cash gap.

🍁 Canola — Nov ~C$743.90 †, −C$0.60 (~flat)

  • Quoted on the active November contract, canola essentially held flat near C$744 — a quiet, steady close.

  • Ignore the watchlist's July print (729.00, down C$12 on a single lot): that's a roll artifact from an expiring contract, not a real 1.65% break.

  • So what: A steady November keeps the value in your bin intact and the crush basis firm — canola shrugged off a flat bean-oil tape.

  • Watch: Prairie growing weather, the loonie, and the July/Nov spread as the roll finishes.

🌾 Alberta Feed Barley — ≈C$310/t † (steady)

  • Delivered-Lethbridge old-crop cash is holding around C$310/t (~C$6.75/bu); new-crop fall bids sit lower.

  • Feedlot demand is steady, and the barley/corn import-substitution math still favours holding bushels for now.

  • So what: Firm nearby cash rewards growers with bin space; the new-crop discount flags where the market sees fall supply.

  • Watch: This is a weekly cash series — next provincial update and U.S. corn/DDG import economics into Alberta lots.

🛢️ WTI Crude — 68.69, +$0.11 (+0.16%) 🟢⬆️

  • Crude stalled, settling a nickel higher after dipping to a roughly four-month low intraday near $68.

  • The soft tape traced to more oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz and signs of progress in indirect U.S.–Iran talks — supply worries, not demand.

  • So what: The read-through that matters on the farm — crude parked in the high $60s keeps diesel relief in play through the busy season.

  • Watch: Weekend headlines out of the Iran talks and the next EIA inventory print after the holiday.

🔥 Natural Gas — 3.196, −$0.024 (−0.75%) 🔴⬇️

  • Gas eased under $3.20, giving back a little as the storage picture stayed comfortable.

  • Weather-driven demand is the swing factor, and today it didn't provide a fresh spark.

  • So what: Gas is the feedstock behind nitrogen — a soft, range-bound tape is quietly friendly for next season's urea and anhydrous costs.

  • Watch: The EIA storage report and the cooling-degree-day outlook as the heat builds into July.

🥇 Gold — 4,112.7, +$44.4 (+1.09%) 🟢⬆️

  • Gold powered through $4,100 to settle up more than 1%, with spot running even harder (near $4,123) on a safe-haven and rate-cut bid.

  • Soft labour-market signals ahead of the holiday stoked expectations for easier policy, and the haven trade did the rest.

  • So what: A gold breakout points to a market leaning toward rate cuts — friendlier for farm borrowing costs down the road, even as it flags nervy macro nerves.

  • Watch: The next U.S. jobs read and Fed expectations; gold needs the rate-cut story to hold to keep this handle.

🥈 Silver — 60.643, +$0.558 (+0.93%) 🟢⬆️

  • Silver rode gold's coattails higher, adding nearly 1% (spot ran stronger) to hold above $60.

  • The industrial-demand kicker gives silver its own leg, but today it mostly followed the metal's haven bid.

  • So what: Silver holding north of $60 is one for the metals watchers — the gold-silver ratio is the tell on which metal's leading.

  • Watch: COMEX inventories and whether silver keeps pace with gold or lets the ratio widen.

The Bottom Line

  • Biggest mover: Gold (+1.09%, +$44.4) powered past $4,100 to fresh highs — spot ran even harder near $4,123 — on a safe-haven and rate-cut bid, with silver (+0.93%) along for the ride.

  • Cross-market read: Grains leaned green on record Corn Belt heat — corn (+0.95%) led the liquid contracts and KC wheat firmed — while energy stalled (crude flat at $68.69, gas −0.75%). Mind the thin July roll: oats' +5.25% and the flat HRS/canola July prints are contract-roll noise (†), not clean signals.

  • Watch Monday: U.S. markets are dark Friday for Independence Day (observed), so the next board is Monday, July 6 — watch the weekend Corn Belt heat maps, the latest U.S. jobs read for the rate-cut trade, and where canola's November contract settles once the roll clears.

The Daily Board — daily ag & commodity markets, where the board closed and why.

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