The Daily Board — Thursday, July 2, 2026
Metals did the heavy lifting into the long weekend: gold powered through $4,100 to settle up better than 1% (spot ran even harder), and silver tagged along.
Grains leaned green on record heat baking the Corn Belt — corn led the liquid contracts, and the winter-wheat boards firmed, though several thin July contracts are mid-roll and printing on a handful of lots.
Energy went nowhere: crude stalled right at $68.69 after poking a four-month low intraday, and nat gas eased.
U.S. markets are closed Friday, July 3 for Independence Day (observed), so this close carries into a long weekend — the next board is Monday, July 6.
Prices are CME/KC/MGEX/ICE/COMEX settlements for Thu, July 2, 2026 — Barchart "s" settle stamps dated 07/02/26. Several July grain contracts are thinning into the roll: HRS (†) settled unchanged on 1 lot, oats (†) popped 5.25% on 43 lots, and canola (†) is quoted on the active November contract because the watchlist July print (729.00 on 1 lot) is a roll artifact. Alberta feed barley (†) is the latest weekly delivered-Lethbridge cash bid.
The Board
🌾 Grains & Oilseeds (CBOT / KC / MGEX)
🌽 Corn · Jul — 425'0 ¢/bu · +4'0 · +0.95% 🟢⬆️
🫘 Beans · Jul — 1131'6 ¢/bu · +5'4 · +0.49% 🟢⬆️
🥩 Meal · Jul — 307.7 $/ton · +1.1 · +0.36% 🟢⬆️
🛢️ Oil · Jul — 66.95 ¢/lb · −0.07 · −0.10% 🔴⬇️
🌾 SRW · Jul — 590'4 ¢/bu · −1'4 · −0.25% 🔴⬇️
🌾 HRW · Jul — 627'0 ¢/bu · +3'6 · +0.60% 🟢⬆️
🌾 HRS · Jul † — 590'0 ¢/bu · unch · 0.00% ➖
🌅 Oats · Jul † — 285'6 ¢/bu · +14'2 · +5.25% 🟢⬆️
🍁 Prairie Crops (Canada — C$)
🍁 Canola · Nov † — C$743.90 /t · −0.60 · −0.08% ➖
🌾 Barley · cash † — ≈C$310 /t · steady · — ➖
🛢️ Energy (NYMEX)
🛢️ WTI · Aug — 68.69 $/bbl · +0.11 · +0.16% 🟢⬆️
🔥 NatGas · Aug — 3.196 $/MMBtu · −0.024 · −0.75% 🔴⬇️
🥇 Metals (COMEX)
🥇 Gold · Jul — 4,112.7 $/oz · +44.4 · +1.09% 🟢⬆️
🥈 Silver · Jul — 60.643 $/oz · +0.558 · +0.93% 🟢⬆️
† HRS Minneapolis settled unchanged at 590'0 on a single lot — a dead-thin print carried, not a real session. Oats' +5.25% pop came on 43 lots; direction's real, magnitude is thin-market noise. Canola is quoted on the active November contract (~C$743.90, ~flat); the watchlist July contract printed 729.00 on 1 lot, a roll artifact, don't read it as a 1.65% break. Feed barley is a weekly cash series (latest delivered Lethbridge bid: ~C$310/t), not a daily print.
The Read
🌽 Corn — 425'0, +4¢ (+0.95%) 🟢⬆️
Corn led the liquid grains higher as record heat settled over the central U.S. and technical buyers kept pressing the recovery.
July is still the active contract with real volume behind it, so this move is honest, not a thin-market blip.
So what: Another firm close adds value to bin corn and helps keep the new-crop basis from sliding as the market prices in weather risk through July.
Watch: Weekend Corn Belt heat maps and Monday's reopen. A hot, dry stretch through pollination is the story that matters now.
🫘 Soybeans — 1131'6, +5½¢ (+0.49%) 🟢⬆️
Beans firmed on spillover from corn and the same hot forecast, but lagged corn as a flat soybean-oil tape kept a lid on the rally.
New-crop November tracked a similar gain. The demand story is quiet, so this is a weather bid, not a China bid.
So what: A small green close firms your cash bean bid a touch but keeps the bean/corn ratio leaning corn's way into the heat.
Watch: Any fresh China flash sale and the July weather run — demand plus heat are the two levers on beans.
🥩 Soybean Meal — 307.7, +1.1 (+0.36%) 🟢⬆️
Meal edged higher, with the complex quietly firming as the crush remained the workhorse of the soy board.
With oil flat, meal carried the product split today, a modest but steady bid.
So what: Firmer meal nudges feed costs up a hair for hog and cattle finishers; nothing dramatic yet.
Watch: The meal/oil spread and protein-feed demand, meal keeps the crush lit when oil naps.
🛢️ Soybean Oil — 66.95, −0.07 (−0.10%) 🔴⬇️
Bean oil sat out the grain rally, settling dead flat as its leash to a stalled crude tape kept it pinned.
The July contract is thinning into the roll, so read the flat print as "no fresh catalyst," not a directional call.
So what: A becalmed oil tape keeps the oilseed complex and your canola basis on hold — no tailwind, no drag.
Watch: Crude's next move and any biofuel headline — oil needs one of those to break its range.
🌾 SRW Wheat (Chicago) — 590'4, −1½¢ (−0.25%) 🔴⬇️
Chicago slipped a touch, easing off as the thin, expiring July contract traded on just 136 lots.
The heat bid landed on corn and the winter-wheat cash markets more than on a July SRW futures contract that's already rolling into new crop.
So what: A quiet, thin July print isn't the whole wheat story — the active contracts and the cash board are where the heat premium actually shows up.
Watch: Monday's reopen on the September/December contracts, and Northern Hemisphere harvest pressure is rolling in.
🌾 HRW Wheat (Kansas City) — 627'0, +3¾¢ (+0.60%) 🟢⬆️
The hard-red board firmed above $6.27, outpacing Chicago as Southern Plains heat and adequate protein kept a bid under it.
Thin July volume (75 lots) here too, but the direction lines up with a firm winter-wheat complex.
So what: A firmer KC board widens the HRW–SRW spread a hair — quality wheat holding its premium as the heat builds.
Watch: Gulf export competitiveness and the weekend heat over the Plains.
🌾 HRS Wheat (Minneapolis) — 590'0 †, unch (0.00%) ➖
The Minnie printed unchanged at 590'0 — on a single lot. This is a carried settle, not a real session.
Spring wheat has firmed off its late-June lows, but today's tape tells you nothing new; the pit simply didn't trade.
So what: Don't bank a flat Minneapolis print either way — one lot is a placeholder, not a market for Prairie spring-wheat growers.
Watch: Spring-wheat condition ratings and whether liquidity returns after the long weekend.
🌅 Oats — 285'6 †, +14¼¢ (+5.25%) 🟢⬆️
Oats popped better than 5% — but on 43 lots and no real open, so a handful of contracts set the price, as always.
No fresh oats fundamental; the thin pit floated up with the firmer grain tone.
So what: Direction's up with the complex, but don't read a 5% Chicago oats move as your Prairie cash reality — this market moves on air pockets.
Watch: Prairie new-crop conditions and the Chicago/Prairie cash gap.
🍁 Canola — Nov ~C$743.90 †, −C$0.60 (~flat) ➖
Quoted on the active November contract, canola essentially held flat near C$744 — a quiet, steady close.
Ignore the watchlist's July print (729.00, down C$12 on a single lot): that's a roll artifact from an expiring contract, not a real 1.65% break.
So what: A steady November keeps the value in your bin intact and the crush basis firm — canola shrugged off a flat bean-oil tape.
Watch: Prairie growing weather, the loonie, and the July/Nov spread as the roll finishes.
🌾 Alberta Feed Barley — ≈C$310/t † (steady) ➖
Delivered-Lethbridge old-crop cash is holding around C$310/t (~C$6.75/bu); new-crop fall bids sit lower.
Feedlot demand is steady, and the barley/corn import-substitution math still favours holding bushels for now.
So what: Firm nearby cash rewards growers with bin space; the new-crop discount flags where the market sees fall supply.
Watch: This is a weekly cash series — next provincial update and U.S. corn/DDG import economics into Alberta lots.
🛢️ WTI Crude — 68.69, +$0.11 (+0.16%) 🟢⬆️
Crude stalled, settling a nickel higher after dipping to a roughly four-month low intraday near $68.
The soft tape traced to more oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz and signs of progress in indirect U.S.–Iran talks — supply worries, not demand.
So what: The read-through that matters on the farm — crude parked in the high $60s keeps diesel relief in play through the busy season.
Watch: Weekend headlines out of the Iran talks and the next EIA inventory print after the holiday.
🔥 Natural Gas — 3.196, −$0.024 (−0.75%) 🔴⬇️
Gas eased under $3.20, giving back a little as the storage picture stayed comfortable.
Weather-driven demand is the swing factor, and today it didn't provide a fresh spark.
So what: Gas is the feedstock behind nitrogen — a soft, range-bound tape is quietly friendly for next season's urea and anhydrous costs.
Watch: The EIA storage report and the cooling-degree-day outlook as the heat builds into July.
🥇 Gold — 4,112.7, +$44.4 (+1.09%) 🟢⬆️
Gold powered through $4,100 to settle up more than 1%, with spot running even harder (near $4,123) on a safe-haven and rate-cut bid.
Soft labour-market signals ahead of the holiday stoked expectations for easier policy, and the haven trade did the rest.
So what: A gold breakout points to a market leaning toward rate cuts — friendlier for farm borrowing costs down the road, even as it flags nervy macro nerves.
Watch: The next U.S. jobs read and Fed expectations; gold needs the rate-cut story to hold to keep this handle.
🥈 Silver — 60.643, +$0.558 (+0.93%) 🟢⬆️
Silver rode gold's coattails higher, adding nearly 1% (spot ran stronger) to hold above $60.
The industrial-demand kicker gives silver its own leg, but today it mostly followed the metal's haven bid.
So what: Silver holding north of $60 is one for the metals watchers — the gold-silver ratio is the tell on which metal's leading.
Watch: COMEX inventories and whether silver keeps pace with gold or lets the ratio widen.
The Bottom Line
Biggest mover: Gold (+1.09%, +$44.4) powered past $4,100 to fresh highs — spot ran even harder near $4,123 — on a safe-haven and rate-cut bid, with silver (+0.93%) along for the ride.
Cross-market read: Grains leaned green on record Corn Belt heat — corn (+0.95%) led the liquid contracts and KC wheat firmed — while energy stalled (crude flat at $68.69, gas −0.75%). Mind the thin July roll: oats' +5.25% and the flat HRS/canola July prints are contract-roll noise (†), not clean signals.
Watch Monday: U.S. markets are dark Friday for Independence Day (observed), so the next board is Monday, July 6 — watch the weekend Corn Belt heat maps, the latest U.S. jobs read for the rate-cut trade, and where canola's November contract settles once the roll clears.
The Daily Board — daily ag & commodity markets, where the board closed and why.
